The 35 percent coolcation surge everyone quoted this summer is Sixt, the car-rental firm, forecasting "up to 35%," not a booking count. The phantom "Visit Scandinavia year-end report" behind it does not exist, and two of its three countries, Finland and Iceland, are Nordic, not Scandinavian.

The pull north is real, just smaller and more honest. Norway, Sweden, and Denmark all set records in 2025, and SAS measured passenger volumes up more than 10 percent. Adding, not replacing. The south is not emptying; Santorini dropped because the ground shook, not because Rome was warm.

Book by April, and carry three wallets across one Schengen border. Just do not tell yourself the plane was green because the destination was cold.